CTBTO: Seismic Event 2.5 Detected Near Eastern Ukraine — Likely Seismic — No Radionuclides **FORGE CBRN/Nuclear Simulation Network** — Analysis generated from nuclear-effects-sim and cbrn-sim. ## Threat Assessment - **Estimated yield**: 20 kt (surface) - **Casualty radius**: 11 km (thermal effects) - **Fallout plume**: NE direction, 231 km downwind - **EMP coverage**: 304 km radius (E3 component) - **MOPP level required**: Level 1 - **Medical countermeasure**: Ciprofloxacin stockpile status: 61% - **Global stockpile**: 13587 warheads — North Korea accounts for 38% ## Related FORGE Simulations - **nuclear-effects-sim**: Blast, thermal, radiation, EMP modeling - **cbrn-sim**: Chemical/biological/radiological detection and response - **boost-intercept-sim**: Boost-phase missile defense - **missile-defense-sim**: Terminal/Exo-atmospheric engagement - **information-ops-sim**: Nuclear narrative propagation modeling *This article was auto-generated by the FORGE simulation engine. Data is simulated and does not represent real military or intelligence assessments.*